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  <title>2012 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers: Top Five Starting Pitchers - Fantasy - Yahoo! Sports</title>
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<h1 property="dc:title">2012 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers: Top Five Starting Pitchers</h1>
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        By <a href="http://contributor.yahoo.com/user/1459743/trevor_crovitz.html" target="new">Trevor Crovitz</a>, <a href="http://contributor.yahoo.com/join/yahoosports" class="ac_byline" target="new">Yahoo! Contributor Network</a>
        <em property="dc:issued" datatype="xsd:dateTime" content="2012-02-03T14:44:00-08:00">Feb  3, 5:44 pm EST</em>
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<p>There are a number of variables I consider when I&#39;m scouting for overlooked starting pitchers.</p>
<p></p>
<p>Like everyone else, of course, I&#39;m looking for players about to register a breakout season. Personally, I lean toward younger pitchers who have demonstrated steady improvement over the last few years. I also keep an eye on those that have switched teams or leagues, especially when the move matches a pitcher&#39;s upside with a manager&#39;s philosophy, a club&#39;s dynamics, or a ballpark&#39;s reputation.</p>
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                <p>The most important factor in weighing SP sleepers, however, is strikeouts. I&#39;m not drafting any starters unless they strike guys out. A 10-win pitcher with 200 Ks can have as much value as a 15-game winner in fantasy.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The following are my five starting pitcher sleepers for 2012. Keep in mind that I don&#39;t consider a pitcher a sleeper if he is pre-ranked in the top 40.</p>
<p></p>
<p><b><u><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/8778" target="">Cory Luebke</a></u></b> - The 2007 first-round pick started last season in the bullpen, but the <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/sdg;_ylt=Auj0UD0sStk.9XFbMysyI3WFCLcF" target="">San Diego Padres</a> handed him the ball in late June with <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?id=luebkco01&t=p&year=2011" target="">promising results</a>. Luebke went at least five innings in 16 of 17 starts, and failed to strike out five or more batters only once. His poor 5-8 record belied more important starter numbers: 111 K in 101 IP, 3.31 ERA, and 1.09 WHIP. It&#39;s reasonable to expect his wins and strikeouts to double, making him a top-30 fantasy SP. Put him down for a 12&#8212;225&#8212;3.50&#8212;1.15 stat line in 2012.</p>
<p></p>
<p><b><u><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/8167" target="">Hiroki Kuroda</a></u></b> - Some starters don&#39;t have the makeup to pitch in the Big Apple, and the list of <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/nyy" target="">New York Yankees</a> pitching busts include Kevin Brown, <span class="ysp-player"><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/5945/">Carl Pavano</a><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/5945/news" class="ysp_playernote_icon" id="ysp_playernote_mlb.p.5945"></a>,</span> and Randy Johnson. Not only do I believe Kuroda is going to thrive, I think he challenges <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/6603" target="">CC Sabathia</a> for the team lead in wins. In four years with the <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/lad;_ylt=At5rAV2Hb5HjWNZ3CSvIWreFCLcF" target="">Los Angeles Dodgers</a>, his offense provided him with two or fewer runs in about one-third of his starts; <u><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=kurodhi01&year=Career&t=p" target="">with three or more runs of support, he went 38-19</a></u>. It&#39;s not a stretch to expect the Yanks to match last year&#39;s <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/NYY/batteam.shtml" target="">5.35 runs scored per game</a>.</p>
<p></p>
<p>As such, I project Kuroda to be in the neighborhood of 18&#8212;160&#8212;3.75&#8212;1.25. Those numbers will return top-10 SP fantasy value.</p>
<p></p>
<p><b><u><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/7484" target="">Brandon McCarthy</a></u></b> - The <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/oak" target="">Oakland Athletics</a>&#39; right-hander <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=mccarbr01&year=2011&t=p" target="">had an impressive second half in 2011</a> (8-4, 77 Ks in 94 IP, 3.15, 1.07), and I&#39;m expecting him to ride that into his best season. If you knew he was second in the AL in complete games, you&#39;re probably an A&#39;s fan or you owned him in fantasy last year. The A&#39;s don&#39;t hit, so he&#39;s not going to win a bunch of games. Mark him down for 13&#8212;175&#8212;3.75&#8212;1.20.</p>
<p></p>
<p><b><u><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/8106" target="">Felipe Paulino</a></u></b> - This is a shot in the dark, considering the <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/kan" target="">Kansas City Royals</a> pitcher is <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=paulife01&year=Career&t=p" target="">9-26</a> in his career as a starter. After he was traded to the Royals in May last year, he averaged <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?id=paulife01&t=p&year=2011" target="">over 6 innings per start and struck out 119 in 125 IP</a>. I have a hunch he has found his niche in K.C. Make him your last pick in the 2012 draft, and you will be rewarded with numbers close to 10&#8212;150&#8212;4.00&#8212;1.30.</p>
<p></p>
<p><b><u><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/6910" target="">Erik Bedard</a></u></b> - Say what you want about Bedard, but begin with this: <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/play-index/season_finder.cgi?type=p#gotresults&as=result_pitcher&offset=0&sum=1&min_year_season=1871&max_year_season=2011&min_season=1&max_season=-1&min_age=0&max_age=99&lg_ID=lgAny&lgAL_team=tmAny&lgNL_team=tmAny&lgFL_team=tmAny&lgAA_team=tmAny&lgPL_team=tmAny&lgUA_team=tmAny&lgNA_team=tmAny&isActive=either&isHOF=either&isAllstar=either&throws=any&role=anyrole&games_started=60&games_relieved=80&qualifiersSeason=minips&minIpValS=950&minDecValS=14&mingamesValS=40&qualifiersCareer=minips&minIpValC=950&minDecValC=100&mingamesValC=200&orderby=SOp9&layout=full&c1criteria=&c1gtlt=eq&c1val=0&c2criteria=&c2gtlt=eq&c2val=0&c3criteria=&c3gtlt=eq&c3val=0&c4criteria=&c4gtlt=eq&c4val=0&c5criteria=&c5gtlt=eq&c5val=1.0&c6criteria=&location=pob&locationMatch=is&pob=&pod=&pcanada=&pusa=&ajax=1&submitter=1" target="">Only 11 pitchers in MLB history</a> (minimum 950 IP) have better strikeouts-per-9-IP ratios than the new <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/pit" target="">Pittsburgh Pirate</a>. There is extensive evidence that <a href="http://baseballevolution.com/asher/00038.html" target="">pitchers who have pitched in both leagues are more successful in the NL</a>, and Bedard&#39;s <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=bedarer01&year=Career&t=p" target="">interleague resume</a> is eye popping: 8-3, 1.82 ERA, 133 K in 114 IP, 1.00 WHIP.</p>
<p></p>
<p>He hasn&#39;t won 10 games since 2007, so he undoubtedly will slide way down the board on draft day. Grab him and expect a stat line of 13&#8212;190&#8212;3.15&#8212;1.15.</p>
<p></p>
<p></p>
<p><i>Trevor Crovitz has been playing Fantasy Sports for nearly 20 years, dating back to the era when stats and standings were tabulated by hand on notebook paper.</p>
<p></p>
<p></i> <b>More From This Contributor:</b></p>
<p></p>
<p><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/mlb/news;_ylt=A2KLOzLNcClPlnMAhgNNbK5_?slug=ycn-10875973" target="">2012 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers: Top Five Position Players</a><a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/mlb/news?slug=ycn-10848605" target=""></p>
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<p>Ignore Closers; Win with Elite Middle Relievers: A Fans Fantasy Baseball Strategy</a></p>
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<p><a href="http://voices.yahoo.com/article/9282079/ny-knicks-guard-jeremy-lin-overcomes-racial-barriers-10789577.html" target="">N.Y. Knicks Guard Jeremy Lin Overcomes Racial Barriers to Make His Way in the NBA</a></p>
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<p><a href="http://voices.yahoo.com/2011-nfl-fantasy-recap-quarterbacks-mvp-steals-10831969.html?cat=14" target="">2011 Fantasy Recap - the QUARTERBACKS: MVP, Steals & Busts</a></p>
<p><i>Note: This article was written by a Yahoo! contributor. <a href="http://contributor.yahoo.com/join/yahoosports" target="_blank">Sign up here</a> to start publishing your own sports content.</i></p>

                
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                  <div class="updated">Updated Feb  3, 5:44 pm EST</div>
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                        &nbsp;<a href="http://login.yahoo.com/config/login?.src=us_sports&.intl=us&.done=http%3A%2F%2Fsports.yahoo.com%2Ffantasy%2Fmlb%2Fnews%3Fslug%3Dycn-10911405">Post a Comment</a>
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            <li id="mwpphu-comment-20941816" > <div id="mwpphu-replycount-20941816-0" class="mwpphu-comment  mwphugc_default_user_bgclass "><div class="mwpphu-avatar"><a href="http://profile.yahoo.com/6HJ2LAWXA57CEEAEI3JRC53PJE">

                <img id="com_20941816_6HJ2LAWXA57CEEAEI3JRC53PJE" class="imageloader_classname"  width="48" height="48" alt="Kontact" src="http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/nws/2008/news/us/assets/common/images/transparent.png" style="background:url(http://avatars.zenfs.com/users/1ubWasWMTAAEC_EHZyc88arsB.medium.png);"></a></div><!-- end .avatar -->
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            <em id="cmt-rating-pos-20941816" class="  mwpphu-rating-positive mwpphu-rating-zero">0</em> <span>users liked this comment</span>
                    <a href="http://login.yahoo.com/config/login?.src=us_sports&.intl=us&.done=http%3A%2F%2Fsports.yahoo.com%2Ffantasy%2Fmlb%2Fnews%3Fslug%3Dycn-10911405" class="mwpphu-sprite_bg blue_thumb_up_lout mwpphu-sprite_img" id="cmt-rate-tu_20941816" title="Please sign in to rate!">Please sign in to rate this comment up.</a>
                    <a href="http://login.yahoo.com/config/login?.src=us_sports&.intl=us&.done=http%3A%2F%2Fsports.yahoo.com%2Ffantasy%2Fmlb%2Fnews%3Fslug%3Dycn-10911405" class="mwpphu-sprite_bg blue_thumb_down_lout mwpphu-sprite_img" id="cmt-rate-td_20941816" title="Please sign in to rate!">Please sign in to rate this comment down.</a>
                    <em id="cmt-rating-neg-20941816" class=" mwpphu-rating-negetive mwpphu-rating-zero">0</em> <span>users disliked this comment</span></div><cite><em class=""></em> <a target="_blank" href="http://profile.yahoo.com/6HJ2LAWXA57CEEAEI3JRC53PJE"><strong>Kontact</strong></a>  <span class="mwpphu-timestamp"><abbr title="2012-02-05T10:20:03-0800">Sun Feb 05, 2012 02:20 am PST</abbr></span> <a target="mwphcomReportAbuse" href="http://bb.ugccs.abuse.yahoo.com/report_abuse/ReportAbuseBeacon.php?appId=ussports&amp;redirect=http%3a%2f%2fhelp.yahoo.com%2fl%2fus%2fyahoo%2fsports%2fforms%2fabuse_articles.html&eaci=6HJ2LAWXA57CEEAEI3JRC53PJE&commentid=20941816" class=" abuse ">Report Abuse</a> </cite><blockquote class="mwpphu-commenttext">I like Kuroda, but the real sleepers may as well be rookies or bounceback guys coming off an injury. There&#39;s not many SPs who bloom late after they&#39;re already in the big leagues.</blockquote></div><!-- end .mwpphu-info --></div><!-- end .mwpphu-bd --></li>
            <li id="mwpphu-comment-20918998" > <div id="mwpphu-replycount-20918998-0" class="mwpphu-comment  mwphugc_default_user_bgclass "><div class="mwpphu-avatar"><a href="http://profile.yahoo.com/4UEGY32EEQGCRADRBX52VCWI3A">

                <img id="com_20918998_4UEGY32EEQGCRADRBX52VCWI3A" class="imageloader_classname"  width="48" height="48" alt="Amanda" src="http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/nws/2008/news/us/assets/common/images/transparent.png" style="background:url(http://l.yimg.com/a/i/identity2/profile_48a.png);"></a></div><!-- end .avatar -->
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                    <a href="http://login.yahoo.com/config/login?.src=us_sports&.intl=us&.done=http%3A%2F%2Fsports.yahoo.com%2Ffantasy%2Fmlb%2Fnews%3Fslug%3Dycn-10911405" class="mwpphu-sprite_bg blue_thumb_up_lout mwpphu-sprite_img" id="cmt-rate-tu_20918998" title="Please sign in to rate!">Please sign in to rate this comment up.</a>
                    <a href="http://login.yahoo.com/config/login?.src=us_sports&.intl=us&.done=http%3A%2F%2Fsports.yahoo.com%2Ffantasy%2Fmlb%2Fnews%3Fslug%3Dycn-10911405" class="mwpphu-sprite_bg blue_thumb_down_lout mwpphu-sprite_img" id="cmt-rate-td_20918998" title="Please sign in to rate!">Please sign in to rate this comment down.</a>
                    <em id="cmt-rating-neg-20918998" class=" mwpphu-rating-negetive mwpphu-rating-zero">0</em> <span>users disliked this comment</span></div><cite><em class=""></em> <a target="_blank" href="http://profile.yahoo.com/4UEGY32EEQGCRADRBX52VCWI3A"><strong>Amanda</strong></a>  <span class="mwpphu-timestamp"><abbr title="2012-02-04T01:32:21-0800">Fri Feb 03, 2012 05:32 pm PST</abbr></span> <a target="mwphcomReportAbuse" href="http://bb.ugccs.abuse.yahoo.com/report_abuse/ReportAbuseBeacon.php?appId=ussports&amp;redirect=http%3a%2f%2fhelp.yahoo.com%2fl%2fus%2fyahoo%2fsports%2fforms%2fabuse_articles.html&eaci=4UEGY32EEQGCRADRBX52VCWI3A&commentid=20918998" class=" abuse ">Report Abuse</a> </cite><blockquote class="mwpphu-commenttext">Great posts Trev!</blockquote></div><!-- end .mwpphu-info --></div><!-- end .mwpphu-bd --></li>
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                <img id="com_20918172_5CVDI2L474EH5XWN7L4ITO66BE" class="imageloader_classname"  width="48" height="48" alt="Bakes" src="http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/nws/2008/news/us/assets/common/images/transparent.png" style="background:url(http://a323.yahoofs.com/coreid/4c83deabi1972zul3re3/M7Ih3ygzefVlczrQHIE-/1/tn48.jpg?ciAoNtSBivS73Hyt);"></a></div><!-- end .avatar -->
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                    <a href="http://login.yahoo.com/config/login?.src=us_sports&.intl=us&.done=http%3A%2F%2Fsports.yahoo.com%2Ffantasy%2Fmlb%2Fnews%3Fslug%3Dycn-10911405" class="mwpphu-sprite_bg blue_thumb_up_lout mwpphu-sprite_img" id="cmt-rate-tu_20918172" title="Please sign in to rate!">Please sign in to rate this comment up.</a>
                    <a href="http://login.yahoo.com/config/login?.src=us_sports&.intl=us&.done=http%3A%2F%2Fsports.yahoo.com%2Ffantasy%2Fmlb%2Fnews%3Fslug%3Dycn-10911405" class="mwpphu-sprite_bg blue_thumb_down_lout mwpphu-sprite_img" id="cmt-rate-td_20918172" title="Please sign in to rate!">Please sign in to rate this comment down.</a>
                    <em id="cmt-rating-neg-20918172" class=" mwpphu-rating-negetive mwpphu-rating-zero">0</em> <span>users disliked this comment</span></div><cite><em class=""></em> <a target="_blank" href="http://profile.yahoo.com/5CVDI2L474EH5XWN7L4ITO66BE"><strong>Bakes</strong></a>  <span class="mwpphu-timestamp"><abbr title="2012-02-04T00:36:43-0800">Fri Feb 03, 2012 04:36 pm PST</abbr></span> <a target="mwphcomReportAbuse" href="http://bb.ugccs.abuse.yahoo.com/report_abuse/ReportAbuseBeacon.php?appId=ussports&amp;redirect=http%3a%2f%2fhelp.yahoo.com%2fl%2fus%2fyahoo%2fsports%2fforms%2fabuse_articles.html&eaci=5CVDI2L474EH5XWN7L4ITO66BE&commentid=20918172" class=" abuse ">Report Abuse</a> </cite><blockquote class="mwpphu-commenttext">Hey Trev.<br />
Lovin your BLOGS!   I&#39;m not into fantasy baseball, but I&#39;ll be following you buddy!   Keep em coming brother!</blockquote></div><!-- end .mwpphu-info --></div><!-- end .mwpphu-bd --></li></ul></div>
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                <h5>Top 100 players</h5>
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                <h5>Expert's assessments</h5>
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                <h5>Why Peyton Manning should retire</h5>
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                <h5>His workouts at Duke</h5>
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                <h5>Sloan's move still burns</h5>
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                <h5>World Cup criticism</h5>
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                <h5>Giants expect changes</h5>
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                <h5>Raiders dump big contract</h5>
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                <h5>Clock ticking on rivalry</h5>
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                <h5>All-Star reserves named</h5>
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                <h5>Leafs, Wings in classic</h5>
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                <h5>Super Bowl singer may face legal issues</h5>
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                <h5>Price hike in Green Bay</h5>
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                <h5>Dems pushing ex-Giant</h5>
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                <h5>Jacobs's Brady apology</h5>
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                <h5>Obscure MLB player's huge star power</h5>
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                <h5>MLB free-agent tracker</h5>
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                <h5>NBA 'Rising Stars' roster</h5>
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                <h5>Good news for Nuggets</h5>
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